Analysing Power.
Building Clarity.
Founded in Bangladesh to support democratic transition through evidence-based political analysis, electoral intelligence, policy research, and transparent public-interest reporting. Fully independent. Rigorously sourced. Freely accessible.
Ahmad Rafi — Director & Principal Researcher
Ahmad Rafi is a political analyst, researcher, and the founder and director of Political Insights BD. He is the author of The Art of Political Strategies and a peer-reviewed researcher published across ResearchGate and multiple international scholarly platforms. His work focuses on electoral systems, democratic governance, transitional justice, and South Asian geopolitics, with a particular emphasis on generating evidence-based policy insights accessible to the public.
Over the past two years, Ahmad has led more than 80 field research reports covering Bangladesh's political landscape — from constituency-level voter analysis to national policy critiques — establishing PIBD as a credible, independent reference point for civil society organisations, journalists, and international observers.
Privacy & Security Notice: For the protection of our ground-level researchers and field staff, we do not publicly disclose the identities of team members working in sensitive monitoring roles. This policy is consistent with international press freedom and researcher safety standards.
Our Foundational Commitments
Three unwavering principles anchor every report, analysis, and tool we produce.
Evidence-First Truth-Telling
We present Bangladesh's complex political realities through rigorous, impartial analysis grounded in verified data and systematic field research — never editorial bias or political allegiance.
A Genuinely Democratic Bangladesh
We work toward a Bangladesh where political decisions are driven by evidence rather than emotion — and where every citizen has access to accurate, actionable political information to exercise informed agency.
Transparency & Accountability
We operate with full editorial independence, methodological transparency, and the courage to acknowledge errors. Every analysis cites its sources. Every conclusion can be challenged.
Six Core Thematic Areas
Our analytical work spans six interconnected domains central to Bangladesh's democratic future and regional stability.
Electoral Analysis
Deep-dive constituency analysis, voter behaviour modelling, coalition dynamics, and seat-by-seat electoral forecasting — covering all 300 parliamentary constituencies ahead of the 2026 General Election.
Policy Research
Comparative international policy analysis, government programme evaluations, and evidence-based policy recommendations — independently produced and open access.
Transitional Justice
Post-uprising justice processes, international tribunal monitoring, truth and reconciliation frameworks — contextualised within global transitional justice standards and human rights law.
Constitutional Reform
Tracking interim reform committee proceedings, assessing constitutional amendment proposals, and evaluating long-term institutional restructuring against democratic benchmarks.
Geopolitical Analysis
Bangladesh's regional and international relationships, the India-China-USA strategic triangle, and the evolving political currents across South Asia — with implications for governance and sovereignty.
Media & Disinformation
Digital manipulation detection, social media influence mapping, identification of coordinated inauthentic behaviour, and support for responsible contemporary journalism in Bangladesh.
National Threat Analyzer Dashboard
Real-time monitoring of Bangladesh's political media landscape — AI-powered, publicly accessible, and methodologically transparent.
Intelligence
National Threat Analyzer Dashboard
Monitor Bangladesh, India, and international political narratives across 94+ media outlets in real time. Our AI-powered platform delivers Bias Detection, Narrative Tracking, and Political Threat Intelligence — all freely accessible to citizens, researchers, and journalists.
Specialised Partner Organisations
Two dedicated wings extend our mission into fact-checking and civic rights advocacy.
Fact Check BD
Bangladesh's leading independent fact-checking platform — combating political misinformation and verifying the accuracy of public claims across all major parties and institutions.
Visit Website →Nagorik Forum Bangladesh
A citizen advocacy platform advancing civic rights, good governance, and transparent public accountability — mobilising grassroots voices across Bangladesh's democratic transition.
Advocacy GroupPIB Bangladesh Publication
Our dedicated publishing platform for long-form research, special reports, and policy analysis — covering politics, society, and the economy with depth, rigour, and public-interest focus.
Our Public-Interest Tools
Three powerful platforms built for civic empowerment — free, open-access, and designed for Bangladesh's political context.
AI-Based Fact Checking Tool
Bangladesh's first artificial-intelligence-driven fact verification platform. Cross-check political statements, viral news, and public declarations against trusted sources — receiving credibility scores and source citations in seconds, in both Bengali and English.
Political Insights Digital Forensic Tool
A specialised forensic intelligence platform to detect manipulated images, deepfake videos, fabricated screenshots, and coordinated disinformation campaigns in Bangladesh's political environment. Upload any suspicious media for metadata analysis and AI-assisted authenticity verification.
Government Budget Calculator
Interactively explore Bangladesh's national budget — sector-by-sector breakdowns, year-over-year expenditure comparisons, and per-capita allocation calculations by district. Full 2025–26 budget dataset included. A citizen-facing fiscal transparency resource, freely accessible to all.
Four Specialised Service Streams
From national elections to union-level campaigns — we support candidates, parties, NGOs, and research institutions with data-driven political intelligence.
Political Insights BD is Bangladesh's only comprehensive data-driven political intelligence platform. From candidate nomination to final results — field research, voter analysis, social media campaign planning, ground strategy, media management, and crisis response — delivered through a unified, fully evidence-based methodology. Our services are designed for actors at every level of Bangladesh's democratic process, including civil society organisations and international observers.
Election Monitoring & Intelligence
Real-time observation and intelligence gathering across parliamentary, upazila, union, municipal, and city corporation elections — at every level of Bangladesh's democratic structure.
On election day, our ground teams report instantly from 42,000+ polling stations — enabling live situation awareness and rapid response.
- Hourly voter turnout tracking by station
- Immediate reporting of irregularities and incidents
- Hotspot mapping of high-risk booths with advance warnings
- Live communication channels with ground agents
- Real-time results compilation from count commencement
Custom monitoring plans for candidates, parties, and observer missions at every tier of Bangladesh's electoral system.
- National Parliament — all 300 constituencies
- Upazila Council — 495 upazila chairs and vice-chairs
- Union Council — 4,571 UP chairs and members
- Municipal elections — 330 municipalities
- City Corporation by-elections — mayor and councillor seats
Comprehensive profiling of all candidates in a constituency and continuous monitoring of rival campaign activities.
- Family, social, and political background analysis
- SWOT evaluation for every candidate
- Tracking opponent ground activities and voter outreach
- Monitoring rival campaign messaging and tactics
- Early warning of potential vote fraud or irregularities
Strategic intelligence across the full electoral cycle — from nomination decisions through to post-result analysis and next-step strategy.
- Pre-election field reports assessing viability and risk
- Nomination and candidacy decision support
- Hourly election-day briefings and alert messages
- Count monitoring and result verification
- Comprehensive post-election analysis and forward strategy
Monitoring package pricing depends on constituency count, election type, and timeline. Request a custom quote.
Data-Driven Political Analysis
Booth-level data, voter behaviour research, swing analysis, and electoral forecasting — entirely evidence-based and methodologically rigorous.
Historical election data combined with current field intelligence to model exactly where and how voters may shift in the next election.
- Historical booth-level vote data from 2008 to present
- Swing voter segmentation — who, where, and how many
- Analysis by religious affiliation, profession, and age group
- Per-ward and per-booth projected vote share
- Strategic booth prioritisation for campaign resource allocation
A detailed demographic portrait of each constituency to guide targeted engagement with every relevant voter group.
- Voter registration data by age, gender, and area
- Occupational group mapping — farmers, traders, students, workers
- Religious and community composition analysis
- Influence mapping of prominent families and community leaders
- First-time voter numbers and likely preferences
A comprehensive political power map of each constituency — showing exactly where each party is strong, weak, or vulnerable.
- Ward and union-level party strength mapping
- Comparative charts across major parties and independents
- Change probability analysis versus previous elections
- Coalition formation scenarios and vote split modelling
- Opposition vote fragmentation opportunity identification
Scientifically structured opinion research to understand the genuine attitudes and concerns of voters in any constituency.
- Door-to-door voter interviews and opinion collection
- Positive and negative sentiment mapping toward candidates
- Local issue and concern ranking — what matters most to voters
- Campaign message effectiveness testing (A/B testing)
- Trend monitoring across regular research intervals
Analysis package costs depend on constituency size and depth required. Request a custom quote for your area.
Electoral Campaign Strategy
From nomination day to polling day — ground campaign design, social media planning, media management, and crisis response: complete strategic support.
A complete, date-specific action plan covering the entire campaign period from announcement day through to polling day.
- Campaign timeline, milestone calendar, and workplan
- Separate strategies for each identified voter segment
- Resource prioritisation framework for limited budgets
- Strategic scheduling of rallies, door-to-door canvassing, and events
- Final-week push strategy and voter mobilisation plan
Platform-by-platform digital strategies — Facebook, YouTube, WhatsApp, and TikTok — tailored to reach voters where they are.
- Facebook page and group strategy with content calendar
- YouTube channel content planning and video script guidelines
- WhatsApp network structure and message distribution strategy
- Voter-segment-specific content formats and messaging
- Paid boosting and targeted ad campaign recommendations
- Counter-strategy for opponents' digital activity
Data-informed messaging that amplifies a candidate's genuine strengths and resonates with what voters actually care about.
- Core electoral message and slogan development
- Customised messaging for each voter group
- Poster, leaflet, and banner content guidelines
- Microphone, rally, and public outreach speech frameworks
- Local issue-based pledges and programme messaging
- Prepared FAQ bank for common voter questions
Organisational frameworks and operational guides for running an effective ground campaign at every booth and ward.
- Booth-by-booth committee structures and responsibilities
- Door-to-door canvassing plan and scheduling
- Training materials and operational guides for field workers
- Targeted outreach to women, youth, and diaspora families
- Election-day booth management and voter get-out plan
Ensuring consistent, credible, and positive candidate presence across local and national media throughout the campaign period.
- Local print and online portal press coverage strategy
- Press release and press conference scheduling plan
- Television interview preparation and media training guidance
- Counter-strategy for negative media coverage
- Social media monitoring and reputation protection
Rapid strategic response to any crisis, rumour, or opponent disinformation campaign during the election period.
- Crisis response protocol development and team preparation
- Rapid rebuttal strategy for misinformation and propaganda
- Pre-prepared responses to anticipated negative attacks
- Plans for managing allegations of violence or fraud
- 24/7 crisis advisory support via hotline
Campaign strategy packages are fully bespoke — based on constituency, duration, and scope. Contact us for details.
Research, Policy & Publications
Field surveys, policy analysis, stakeholder research, and internationally-standard reports — for political parties, NGOs, and research institutions.
Scientific sampling methodology for voter opinion and political situational analysis — quantitative and qualitative.
- Upazila or constituency-level voter opinion surveys (quantitative)
- Qualitative FGD (Focus Group Discussions) and in-depth interviews
- Opinion compilation from community and religious leaders
- Statistical analysis and data visualisation in full reports
- Research findings Presentation Deck included
Comparative policy analysis and reform recommendations to international standards — for civil society, donors, and government actors.
- Comparative analysis of electoral systems, constitutional law, and governance policy
- Government programme impact assessment
- Reform proposals and policy papers
- Situation reports for international development organisations
- Executive summaries in both Bengali and English
A complete picture of Bangladesh's political landscape — mapping the positions and interests of all influential actors.
- Key stakeholder identification — parties, civil society, business, religious leaders
- Position, interest, and influence mapping for each stakeholder
- National and international political context analysis
- Historical electoral and political pattern review
- Regional and bilateral relationship impact assessment
Keeping organisations and institutions continuously updated on Bangladesh's evolving political environment through regular analytical outputs.
- Monthly political situation reports (summary and in-depth)
- District-level voter sentiment analysis reports
- Electoral forecasting updates
- Weekly or bi-weekly briefing notes on upcoming elections
- English-language reports for international media and organisations
Research report costs depend on scope, subject matter, and delivery timeline. Contact us to discuss your requirements.
Request a Custom Quote
All packages are bespoke — priced according to constituency, election type, and scope. Complete the form and we'll respond within 24 hours.
Send Us a Service Enquiry
Tell us about your election, area, and requirements — we'll respond with a tailored proposal.
Upcoming Elections — 2026
Status, seat counts, and PIBD coverage plans for all scheduled and forthcoming elections.
| # | Election Type | Total Seats / Units | Current Status | PIBD Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13th National Parliament Election | 300 Seats | ✔ Completed | Full analysis completed |
| 2 | Dhaka North City Corporation By-Election | 1 Mayoral Seat | ⏳ Date pending | Monitoring plan ready |
| 3 | Upazila Council Election | 495 Upazilas | 📋 Schedule pending | Pre-analytics underway |
| 4 | Union Council Election | 4,571 Unions | 🔎 Commission review | Ward-level data in collection |
| 5 | Municipal Election | 330 Municipalities | 📅 Date to be set | Candidate profiling in progress |
| ⚠ Schedules are subject to official announcement by the Bangladesh Election Commission. Political Insights BD updates all electoral information in real time. | ||||
Partner with us for Strategic Impact
From national parliamentary elections to district, upazila, and union-level contests — we provide data-driven campaign design, voter sentiment analysis, and winning strategic guidance at every tier of Bangladesh's democratic process.
- ✔ National Parliament Election Strategy
- ✔ District & Upazila Election Planning
- ✔ Union Council & Grassroots Campaign Design
Secure your electoral outcome with
expert intelligence today.
National parliament, upazila, or union level — we provide strategic support from start to finish, entirely data-based.